{"id":7631,"date":"2026-04-15T01:31:52","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T22:31:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/uk-uachomu-2026-mozhe-stati-vidnosno-spokijnim-sezonom-uraganiv-v\/"},"modified":"2026-04-15T01:31:52","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T22:31:52","slug":"uk-uachomu-2026-mozhe-stati-vidnosno-spokijnim-sezonom-uraganiv-v","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/uk-uachomu-2026-mozhe-stati-vidnosno-spokijnim-sezonom-uraganiv-v\/","title":{"rendered":"Pro\u010d by rok 2026 mohl b\u00fdt relativn\u011b klidnou sez\u00f3nou hurik\u00e1n\u016f v Atlantiku"},"content":{"rendered":"

Meteorologov\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed oddech pro oblast Atlantiku v roce 2026. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ro\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi z Colorado State University (CSU) Tropical Meteorology Project<\/strong> se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee aktivita v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b hurik\u00e1n\u016f bude podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1, co\u017e poskytne v\u00edtan\u00fd oddech od ni\u010div\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00ed posledn\u00edch let. <\/p>\n

Role El Ni\u00f1o a st\u0159ih v\u011btru<\/h3>\n

Hlavn\u00edm faktorem tohoto p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9ho klidu je obr\u00e1cen\u00ed cyklu El Ni\u00f1o-ji\u017en\u00ed oscilace (ENSO)<\/strong>. Klima aktu\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159ech\u00e1z\u00ed ze slab\u00e9 f\u00e1ze La Ni\u00f1a do v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

Tento p\u0159echod je kritick\u00fd kv\u016fli jeho vlivu na fyziku atmosf\u00e9ry:
\n– El Ni\u00f1o<\/strong> obvykle p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed teplej\u0161\u00ed povrchov\u00e9 vody a slab\u0161\u00ed pas\u00e1ty do Tich\u00e9ho oce\u00e1nu.
\n– Pro Atlantik je d\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, \u017ee siln\u00fd El Ni\u00f1o zvy\u0161uje vertik\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u0159ih v\u011btru<\/strong>. <\/p>\n

St\u0159ih v\u011btru ozna\u010duje zm\u011bnu rychlosti a sm\u011bru v\u011btru v r\u016fzn\u00fdch nadmo\u0159sk\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161k\u00e1ch v atmosf\u00e9\u0159e. Kdy\u017e je smyk velk\u00fd, funguje jako mechanick\u00fd p\u0159eru\u0161ova\u010d, doslova \u201eroztrh\u00e1v\u00e1\u201c rozv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se tropick\u00e9 cykl\u00f3ny, ne\u017e se daj\u00ed organizovat do siln\u00fdch hurik\u00e1n\u016f. <\/p>\n

Ukazatele progn\u00f3zy v \u010d\u00edslech<\/h3>\n

P\u0159esto\u017ee sez\u00f3na slibuje, \u017ee bude klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e je historick\u00e1 norma, meteorologov\u00e9 st\u00e1le o\u010dek\u00e1vaj\u00ed ur\u010ditou aktivitu. Zpr\u00e1va CSU rozd\u011bluje progn\u00f3zy takto:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Pojmenovan\u00e9 Bou\u0159e:<\/strong> 13<\/li>\n
  • Hurik\u00e1ny (kategorie 1 nebo 2):<\/strong> 6<\/li>\n
  • Siln\u00e9 hurik\u00e1ny (kategorie 3 a vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed):<\/strong> 2<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Pravd\u011bpodobnost p\u00e1du na pevninu<\/h4>\n

    Pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee velk\u00fd hurik\u00e1n dopadne na pevninu, je znateln\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e dlouhodob\u00e9 historick\u00e9 pr\u016fm\u011bry (po\u010d\u00edt\u00e1no pro obdob\u00ed 1880\u20132020):<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Region<\/th>\nP\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f pravd\u011bpodobnosti na rok 2026<\/th>\nHistorick\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    V\u00fdchodn\u00ed pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed USA<\/strong> <\/td>\n32 %<\/td>\n43 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Karibik<\/strong> <\/td>\n35 %<\/td>\n47 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

    Nutn\u00e9 upozorn\u011bn\u00ed: P\u0159edpov\u011bdi nejsou z\u00e1rukou.<\/h3>\n

    Navzdory povzbudiv\u00fdm \u00fadaj\u016fm odborn\u00edci vyz\u00fdvaj\u00ed obyvatele rizikov\u00fdch pob\u0159e\u017en\u00edch oblast\u00ed, aby nezklamali. \u201eKlidn\u00e1\u201c sez\u00f3na je statistick\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br, nikoli p\u0159\u00edslib bezpe\u010dnosti. <\/p>\n

    \n

    “Obyvatel\u00e9 pob\u0159e\u017e\u00ed by si m\u011bli pamatovat, \u017ee sta\u010d\u00ed jeden hurik\u00e1n, aby se dostali na pevninu, aby za\u017eili extr\u00e9mn\u011b aktivn\u00ed sez\u00f3nu,” varuj\u00ed v\u00fdzkumn\u00edci CSU. <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

    Nep\u0159edv\u00eddatelnost po\u010das\u00ed znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i v roce s malou aktivitou m\u016f\u017ee jedna \u0161\u0165astn\u00e1 bou\u0159e zp\u016fsobit katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0161kody. P\u0159ipravenost by m\u011bla z\u016fstat st\u00e1l\u00fdm po\u017eadavkem, nikoli sez\u00f3nn\u00edm luxusem. <\/p>\n

    Kontroln\u00ed seznam z\u00e1kladn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy<\/h3>\n

    Vzhledem k tomu, \u017ee sez\u00f3na hurik\u00e1n\u016f ofici\u00e1ln\u011b trv\u00e1 od 1. \u010dervna do 30. listopadu<\/strong>, pohotovostn\u00ed \u00fa\u0159edn\u00edci doporu\u010duj\u00ed udr\u017eovat z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00farove\u0148 p\u0159ipravenosti:<\/p>\n

      \n
    1. Z\u00e1soby:<\/strong> M\u00edt dostate\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edsun vody a trvanliv\u00fdch potravin. <\/li>\n
    2. Vybaven\u00ed:<\/strong> Udr\u017eujte baterky, meteorologick\u00e1 r\u00e1dia a powerbanky pln\u011b nabit\u00e9. <\/li>\n
    3. Dokumenty:<\/strong> Uchov\u00e1vejte d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 osobn\u00ed a pr\u00e1vn\u00ed dokumenty na bezpe\u010dn\u00e9m, vodot\u011bsn\u00e9m m\u00edst\u011b. <\/li>\n
    4. Informace:<\/strong> Sledujte aktualizace od National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)<\/strong> a okam\u017eit\u011b dodr\u017eujte v\u0161echny m\u00edstn\u00ed p\u0159\u00edkazy k evakuaci. <\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
      \n

      Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/strong>
      \nP\u0159esto\u017ee p\u0159echod na El Ni\u00f1o nazna\u010duje v\u00fdrazn\u011b klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed atlantickou hurik\u00e1novou sez\u00f3nu v roce 2026, statistick\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed rizika nebezpe\u010d\u00ed neodstra\u0148uje. Ostra\u017eitost a proaktivn\u00ed nouzov\u00e9 pl\u00e1nov\u00e1n\u00ed z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed pro v\u0161echny pob\u0159e\u017en\u00ed komunity.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Meteorologov\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddaj\u00ed potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed oddech pro oblast Atlantiku v roce 2026. Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ro\u010dn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u011bdi z Colorado State University (CSU) Tropical Meteorology Project se o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee aktivita v nadch\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00ed sez\u00f3n\u011b hurik\u00e1n\u016f bude podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1, co\u017e poskytne v\u00edtan\u00fd oddech od ni\u010div\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00ed posledn\u00edch let. Role El Ni\u00f1o a st\u0159ih v\u011btru Hlavn\u00edm faktorem tohoto p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dan\u00e9ho klidu je obr\u00e1cen\u00ed cyklu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7630,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7631"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7631"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7631\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7630"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7631"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7631"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7631"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}