Podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9. To je hlavn\u00ed trend. Alespo\u0148 ve vztahu k Atlantsk\u00e9mu oce\u00e1nu. <\/p>\n
Ve \u010dtvrtek Neil Jacobs z americk\u00e9ho N\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu pro oce\u00e1n a atmosf\u00e9ru (NOAA) vydal p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f popisuj\u00edc\u00ed, co slibuje p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b klidnou sez\u00f3nu. O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd po\u010det jmenovan\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00ed se bude pohybovat od osmi do 14. Pouze jedna a\u017e t\u0159i z nich by se mohly st\u00e1t velk\u00fdmi hurik\u00e1ny \u2013 kategorie 3 nebo vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, s v\u011btry p\u0159esahuj\u00edc\u00edmi 110 mph. \u0160ance takov\u00e9ho sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159e jsou: 55 % pro klidn\u00fd rok, 35 % pro pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd rok a pouze 10 % pro chaos, kter\u00fd n\u00e1s \u010dek\u00e1. <\/p>\n
Ale po\u010dkej. <\/p>\n
Poslechn\u011bte si Kena Grahama z N\u00e1rodn\u00ed meteorologick\u00e9 slu\u017eby. V\u016fbec se neusm\u00e1l. \u201eNedovolte, aby slova jako \u201apodpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1\u2018 zm\u011bnila zp\u016fsob va\u0161\u00ed p\u0159\u00edpravy,\u201c varoval. M\u00e1 naprostou pravdu. Statistick\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br nic neznamen\u00e1, pokud se t\u011bch p\u00e1r bou\u0159ek rozhodne zas\u00e1hnout p\u0159\u00edmo v\u00e1\u0161 domov. V\u00e1\u0161 st\u00e1t mohou zas\u00e1hnout dva hurik\u00e1ny. Dva hurik\u00e1ny kategorie 5. Matematiku nezaj\u00edm\u00e1, kam p\u0159esn\u011b te\u010dka na map\u011b dopadne. Jen se pt\u00e1: m\u00e1te pl\u00e1n? <\/p>\n
\n“Mus\u00edme b\u00fdt p\u0159ipraveni. I kdyby n\u00e1s zas\u00e1hly jen dv\u011b bou\u0159e, budou siln\u00e9.” <\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n
Pro\u010d je Atlantik klidn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed? <\/p>\n
El Ni\u00f1o je zp\u011bt. <\/p>\n
Jde o cyklick\u00fd klimatick\u00fd jev, kter\u00fd naru\u0161uje vzorce v\u011btru po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b. Zejm\u00e9na zp\u016fsobuje vertik\u00e1ln\u00ed st\u0159ih v\u011btru v Atlantsk\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu \u2013 siln\u00e9 vzdu\u0161n\u00e9 proudy v horn\u00edch vrstv\u00e1ch atmosf\u00e9ry ni\u010d\u00ed tvo\u0159\u00edc\u00ed se bou\u0159e. Ne\u017e z\u00edskaj\u00ed s\u00edlu, rozbij\u00ed je na kusy. Jedn\u00e1 se o drsn\u00e9 in\u017een\u00fdrstv\u00ed p\u0159\u00edrody, ale velmi \u00fa\u010dinnou metodu potla\u010den\u00ed aktivity. <\/p>\n
Oblast Tichomo\u0159\u00ed podl\u00e9h\u00e1 jin\u00fdm pravidl\u016fm. <\/p>\n
El Ni\u00f1o oslabuje tento st\u0159ih v\u011btru v Tich\u00e9m oce\u00e1nu. Vzduch se st\u00e1v\u00e1 hladk\u00fdm. Ide\u00e1ln\u00ed podm\u00ednky pro r\u016fst bou\u0159\u00ed, z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edly a zloby. NOAA p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1 70% pravd\u011bpodobnost nadpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9 aktivity ve st\u0159edn\u00edm a v\u00fdchodn\u00edm Pacifiku. Mluv\u00edme o 15-22 pojmenovan\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00edch na v\u00fdchod\u011b. Od p\u011bti do dev\u00edti velk\u00fdch hurik\u00e1n\u016f. <\/p>\n
Na kter\u00e9 stran\u011b mapy bydl\u00edte? <\/p>\n
A nemyslete si, \u017ee je to jen oby\u010dejn\u00fd byznys. Za t\u00edm je hlub\u0161\u00ed hnac\u00ed s\u00edla: zm\u011bna klimatu. Voda je st\u00e1le teplej\u0161\u00ed. V\u017edy hork\u00e9. Toto teplo podporuje intenzitu bou\u0159\u00ed. Studie z roku 2024 ji\u017e poznamenala, \u017ee zm\u011bna klimatu celoplo\u0161n\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ila rychlost v\u011btru, co\u017e tla\u010dilo monstra jako Milton a Beryl k dosa\u017een\u00ed stavu hurik\u00e1nu kategorie 5.<\/p>\n
Naposledy byla p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 v roce 2015.<\/p>\n
Historie n\u00e1m \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, abychom nepolevovali. Progn\u00f3zy jsou pouze pravd\u011bpodobnosti, nikoli z\u00e1ruky. Bou\u0159e ne\u010dtou volebn\u00ed l\u00edstky. Prost\u011b se pohybuj\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Podpr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e9. To je hlavn\u00ed trend. Alespo\u0148 ve vztahu k Atlantsk\u00e9mu oce\u00e1nu. Ve \u010dtvrtek Neil Jacobs z americk\u00e9ho N\u00e1rodn\u00edho \u00fa\u0159adu pro oce\u00e1n a atmosf\u00e9ru (NOAA) vydal p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f popisuj\u00edc\u00ed, co slibuje p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b klidnou sez\u00f3nu. O\u010dek\u00e1van\u00fd po\u010det jmenovan\u00fdch bou\u0159\u00ed se bude pohybovat od osmi do 14. Pouze jedna a\u017e t\u0159i z nich by se mohly st\u00e1t velk\u00fdmi hurik\u00e1ny […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7787,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7788"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7788"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7788\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7787"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7788"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7788"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.schooler.org.ua\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7788"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}